Sunday 28 April 2013

Ever Present Players

I have always been interested by the phenomenon that is a player who can go a whole season without missing a minute of football. Obviously injury, rotation and form or the presence of a decent replacement are all reasons for a player to miss minutes. How many players have done this in Premier League seasons of the past? The 95-96 season was the first to be reduced to 38 games a season (previously 42). Surely fewer fixtures would make it easier to not miss a minute? Also, does the increasing physicality of the league make it harder to go all season without missing a minute?



As you can see the trend goes very much up and down, however were you to add a trend line (and I did) the gradient is -0.0312, to the non-mathematically inclined that means that that there is, on average, a very very slight decline in the frequency with which a player achieves this feat. If this season 7 players had not missed a minute (which has been equalled or bettered 10 times) then the gradient of the trend line would be 0.0078. Basically, the number of occasions that a player has gone all season and played every minute is neither really more or less frequent than it was at the beginning of the Premier League era.

Most frequent not missing a minute-ers

Name
PL seasons without missing a minute
David James
8
Brad Friedel
5
Jussi Jaaskelainen
5
Shay Given
4
Tim Howard
4
Pepe Reina
4
Nigel Martyn
3
Paul Robinson
3

That list is exclusively populated by goalkeepers, with David James well ahead of Friedel and Jaaskelainen. The most seasons managed by an outfield player is 2, achieved by just 4 players (Gareth Southgate, Alan Wright, Wayne Bridge and Sylvain Distin). All of the outfield players to have achieved this are defenders. Alan Wright is the shortest player in Premier League history and once strained his knee reaching for the accelerator in his new Ferrari.

By Alex Pointon

Follow us on twitter @ChapsTalkFBall

Statistics from www.transfermarkt.co.uk

Monday 22 April 2013

Luis Suarez: The most controversial footballer ever?

I’m sure you are all aware by now that in yesterday afternoon’s clash between Chelsea and Liverpool there was a rather crazy incident involving Liverpool striker Luis Suarez and Chelsea’s centreback Branislav Ivanovic. For those of you who remain unaware, this is the incident of which I refer to:

What happened there is that Suarez, seemingly frustrated at Ivanovic’s challenge on him has proceeded to bite the defender just below the shoulder. Now I am of the opinion that no matter what the scenario, there is no need to be biting other people, let alone during a competitive and physical environment such as a football game in which tempers are liable to flair. It would also be easy to now forgive Suarez for what seems to be a momentary lapse in self-control, if it were not for the fact the Uruguayan has a history of highly controversial moments on the football pitch, a history that I will now elaborate on.
First of all, there is this incident, which occurred in 2010 whilst Suarez was still playing for Ajax in Holland:

That’s right, Suarez has not once, but twice bitten an opposing player during a game of football. On this occasion it was PSV’s Otman Bikkal, and Suarez actually managed to draw blood with his bite to the collar of Bikkal. He was later banned for 7 games because of the incident.

However, Suarez’ controversies are not limited solely to the mastication of his fellow players. He was sent off in the 2010 World Cup Quarter Final against Ghana whilst representing Uruguay for deliberately preventing a goal with his hands. A goal that, had it gone in, would have won Ghana the game and sent them in to the Semi-Final. But the goal didn’t go in having been denied by Suarez in a way that any goalkeeper would have been proud of, and Uruguay went on to win the game on a penalty shootout.

Suarez then transferred to Liverpool in January 2011, and controversy followed him to the Premier league. He was banned for 8 games in December 2011 for racially abusing Manchester United’s French left back Patrice Evra. Suarez then refused to shake Evra’s hand before a game between the two sides in March 2012 because of this.

 As recently as the first half of this season, Suarez’s desire to win at all costs has led to even more controversial moments in his career. In October 2012 Suarez was accused of diving in a game against Stoke by Stoke’s manager Tony Pulis. Suarez later admitted on Argentinian TV that he had “fallen” intentionally in order to attempt to win a penalty. Suarez had also been accused of diving against Everton the previous season, in order to get an Everton player sent off, and later celebrated a goal against Everton in a different match by performing a swallow dive in front of the Everton dugout.
As well as these major events, Suarez has also been involved in a variety of smaller events including alledged stamps, kicks, dodgy challenges and other altercations with a host of other plays, notably with Dave Jones of Wigan, Scott Parker and Sylvain Distin.

Fortunately for Suarez, he is a player of undeniable talent, as demonstrated by the fact he is currently the Premier League’s leading goal scorer and his recent nomination for PFA Player of the Year, and this talent may be seen as a way of excusing some of his actions. As author Terry Pratchett suggested in his novel Thief of Time, “Genius is always allowed some leeway, once the hammer has been pried from its hands and the blood has been cleaned up” and this logic can, and perhaps will, be applied to Luis Suarez’s flashes of genius on the football pitch. However, for me Luis Suarez’s footballing ability will always be overshadowed by his willingness to cheat for his own gain, and I think that a player of lesser quality may not have been given so many chances to apologise for his actions, and a may have even been forced from the game.

Suarez is not the only player to have featured in such controversial events in a football ground, and for a comparison, I direct you towards the two following clips:

The first clip there is of Manchester United's charismatic French Striker Eric Cantona performing his now infamous kung fu lunge on a Crystal Palace fan after he had received a red card. The second clip is from the 2006 World Cup Final and is, of course, of Zinedine Zidane's headbutt on Marco Materazzi. Both of these incidents involved stars of the world game, players of a standard that Suarez is yet to even reach' but in each of these cases this incident is often the first thing that springs to a person's mind when the player's name is mentioned. This shows just how drastically a career can be overshadowed by one moment of high profile madness, and in Suarez's case it is not even a single moment. At the time Cantona managed to recover from the incident and proceeded to have a fruitful career, but Zidane's action was his last of a long and prosperous career, having announced that that game would be his last. This just shows that it is unlikely that Suarez will ever be able to shed his mantle as a cheater and a controversial figure, no matter how much he can and may in future achieve.

Written by Paddy Milnes
Follow us on twitter: @ChapsTalkFball @thepaddy

The information in this post is from BBC Sport

Saturday 20 April 2013

Team of 11 Leagues


I’ve been recently set the challenge of selecting a team with each player coming from a different league. It sounds easy on paper, but it’s rather challenging! Here is my team:

4-3-3

GK -  Igor Akinfeev (CSKA Moscow)
Akinfeev is an outstanding shot stopper who has 18 clean sheets this season for Russia and CSKA Moscow. Still only 27, he is certainly capable of replacing Victor Valdes at Barcelona next year.

LB - Philipp Lahm  (Bayern Munich)
Lahm can play both right-back and left-back, which is a rarity in today’s game. He captains both Germany and Bayern Munich and has 14 assists in all competitions this season; astonishing for a full-back.

CB - Vincent Kompany (Manchester City)
Kompany missed a lot of games through injuries this season and it’s no coincidence that City are so far behind United in the Premier League. Kompany was included in the PFA Team of the Year in both 2011 and 2012. He would have made the team this year too.

CB - Giorgio Chiellini (Juventus)
Chiellini was a key part of the water-tight Juventus defence that did not lose a single Serie A game last season. An incredible achievement that was sadly largely overlooked by the British media.

RB - Darijo Srna (Shakhtar Donetsk)
Croatia’s captain and most capped player with 102 caps. Definitely underrated, Srna should be playing in the Premier League.

DM - Victor Wanyama (Celtic)
Extremely powerful and can, at times, dominate the midfield. Definitely one to watch, and at only 21, Wanyama has the potential to be world class. Neil Lennon shares this view; he believes Wanyama is worth £25 million.

CM - Wesley Sneijder (Galatasaray)
Quick and technically gifted, Sneijder remains a world-class player despite his contract dispute with Inter Milan. Sneijder has settled in well at Galatasaray, but I believe a man of his talent should be playing for a better team.

CM - Nicolas Gaitan (Benfica)
Another playmaker, Gaitan continues to turn heads in the Primeira Liga. An excellent passer, Manchester United were rumoured to be interested in the Argentine last summer.

LW - Lionel Messi (FC Barcelona)
Doesn’t need an explanation really…

ST - Zlatan Ibrahimovic (Paris Saint-Germain)
Despite not doing auditions, Ibrahimovic is one of the world’s best strikers. The power that his shots can generate is astonishing. He currently has 33 goals in 40 games in all competitions for PSG this season.

RW - Neymar (Santos)
The greatest Brazilian talent since Ronaldo. Neymar has 54 goals in 102 games for Santos and 19 goals in 31 games for Brazil. Comparisons to PelĂ© are premature, but at just 21, time is on Neymar’s side.

What do you think? What would your team be? Tweet us! @ChapsTalkFBall

By Kelvin Jones @KelvinJonesCBE

Statistics from whoscored.com

Monday 15 April 2013

Breaching Barca


3 years ago Barcelona were without a doubt the best team on the planet both defensively and offensively, however, especially since the departure of Guardiola, opposition teams seem more able to compete with them.

The 2010/11 season was arguably one of the most successful seasons, winning everything available to them with the exception of the Copa Del Ray which was lost in a 1-0 clash with rivals Real Madrid. Barca won the La Liga title for the third consecutive season with a mighty 96 points and claimed their fourth European cup with a 3-1 win over Manchester United at Wembley in the Champions League final. In this season only 2 of their 38 games resulted in defeat and conceding only 21 goals throughout the entire season.

The 2011/12 season was Guardiola’s final season at the club and was one that resulted in no trophies being added to the Barcelona trophy cabinet. The main reason I believe this to be is that their water tight defence had seemed to have sprung a leak, all be it not a very big one though it was enough to surrender the title to Real Madrid that season. Barca won 28 out of their 38 games, and being held to high 7 draws, and 29 goals, 8 higher than the previous season. In 2012 captain Carles Puyol was hit with a recurring knee injury which saw him miss a huge proportion of Barca’s league and European campaign which Barca were unsuccessful in both. With no real centre back cover available midfielder’s Busquets and Mascherano were given the responsibility to fill in after which Barca became even more vulnerable which shows when teams were able to muster an average of 7.2 shots per game against them, compared to just the 7 the season before.

This figure continued to rise, with so far this season oppositions averaging 8.8 shots per game against them. Though it may seem Barca have the league comfortably in their grasp it appears to be through lack of serious competition rather than solid performances across the pitch. So far this season Barca have conceded 33 goals, 4 more than last season with 7 games still to go including Bayern Munich (2 legs), Bilbao, Athletico Madrid and Malaga who are all capable of taking advantage of any defensive weaknesses.

This is a dangerous period for Barca with their continuing dip in form coming ahead of their most important games, and bigger teams showing that positive results can be achieved against the Spanish giants. Over the last 20 games Barca have won 10, were held in 6 and defeated in 4. Real Madrid (twice), AC Milan and Real Sociedad all claimed victories, whilst PSG run them close in the Champions League quarter final and probably deserved to go through and as a result I wouldn’t put any money on Barca claiming their fifth European cup this season.

By Ryan Pantrey

Sources:

@BarcaStat, Wikipedia and whoscored.com.

Friday 12 April 2013

Who is going to win the Champions League?


So today, the draw for the UEFA Champions League Semi-Finals were made. The games to be played are Barcelona vs Bayern Munich and Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund. With only these 4 teams, two from Spain and two from Germany, remaining, now would seem the ideal time to make an educated decision on who is actually going to win the tournament. To do this, I have compiled a table to compare the teams’ performances and squads.


Borussia Dortmund
Bayern Munich
Real Madrid
Barcelona
League Position
2nd with 55 points
1st with 75 points
2nd with 65 points
1st with 78 points
Total Market Value
£225 million
£380 million
£525 million
£530 million
Most Valuable Player
Mario Gotze
£37 million
Franck Ribery
£37 million
Cristiano Ronaldo
£88 million
Lionel Messi
£105 million
Form in last 10 games (all competitions)
DLWWLWWDWW
WWWWLWWWWW
WWWWWWDWWL
WLLWWWDDWD
Goals Scored in UCL this season
19
22
23
18
WDL record in UCL this season
6-4-0
7-1-2
5-3-2
5-3-2
Discipline in UCL this season (Y/R)
9/0
24/1
18/2
19/1
European Pedigree (Includes European Cup Wins as UCL)
UCL Winners: 1997
UEFA Cup Runners Up:
1993, 2001
UCL Winners:
1974, 1975, 1976, 2001
UEFA Cup Winners:
1996
UCL Winners:
1956, 1957, 1958, 1959, 1960, 1966, 1998, 2000, 2002
UCL Runners Up:
1962, 1964, 1981
UEFA Cup Winners:
1985, 1986
UCL Winners:
1992, 2006, 2009, 2011
UCL Runners Up:
1961, 1986, 1994


Clearly, the remaining four teams are fairly evenly matched, with each team having its own strong point. Munich are in the best run of form, having lost only once in their last ten games, the defeat coming against Arsenal in the Champion’s League last 16. Dortmund, however, have the best record in this year’s competition, being the only team in the last four yet to have lost a game. Real Madrid obviously have the European pedigree, having won the tournament more times than any other team. Barcelona’s advantage, for me, lies with Messi. He is capable of winning the tournament single-handedly, as demonstrated by his game changing substitute appearance against PSG in the quarter-finals.

However, to consider who is best placed to win the competition, we must also examine who is playing who. Barcelona vs Bayern Munich would seem to be the tougher of the two games, with these being many people’s pre-tournament favourites. I’m sure it will be a tense game over the two legs, but I personally feel that Barcelona will be able to edge out Munich in their home tie at the Camp Nou. Having seen Barcelona wipe AC Milan out 4-0 at home, I see no reason why a similarly impressive Barcelona display could not happen against Munich. However, I would imagine Munich would win their home tie, but I still see Barcelona winning out over both legs.

The second semi-final would seem far more easily settled. Madrid are the clear favourites to win over both legs, with Dortmund having been considered as outsiders to get this far in the tournament, at the cost of sides with perhaps greater pedigree such as many of the English or Italian sides. That said, Dortmund have shown great resilience so far in the competition, they came from behind against Malaga in the quarter-finals to win in injury time, and it is no mean feat to play 10 UCL games and not lose a single match. Madrid, do overall have a deeper squad, with a larger range of talent and Ronaldo. He is not a player to be ignored, and like Messi, can single-handedly win games.

This brings us to a final that I predict will be Barcelona vs Real Madrid, to be hosted at Wembley. I think that this final encounter will be won by Madrid. In the last 10 iterations of El Clasico, Real Madrid have won 4, Barcelona have won 3 and 3 have ended in stalemate. However, of the last 5, 3 have been Madrid wins, and the other two were drawn. This shows that Madrid may have the edge in what is perhaps one of the most hotly contested rivalries in European Football, and this is the reason why Real Madrid are going to win the 2013 UEFA Champions League (in my opinion, I can’t say what the other chaps think).

By Paddy Milnes

Follows us on Twitter: @chapstalkfootball @thepaddy

Statistics from:
Transfermarkt.com
Uefa.com
Bvb.de
Fcbayern.telekom.de
Realmadrid.com
Fcbarcelona.com

Thursday 11 April 2013

South American football - Is it as good as European football?


After reading a piece about football in the USA I got into a conversation on twitter about the merits of football in regions other than Europe. We concluded that there are some prejudices against non-European football, and I decided to look further into it. Predominantly I was looking for any statistical evidence for or against the assumptions people make.

How do you go about objectively assessing the quality of a football league? That was my first question. The most obvious measure of a league is the quality of the teams who compete to win it. Are Barcelona better than Ajax? Yes, so you could deduce that the Spanish Primera BBVA is a better league than the Dutch Eredivisie. Other things matter too, though. Football is entertainment, and predictability isn't very entertaining. In the Dutch Eredivisie four teams are separated by just four points at the top of the table with 29 games played,  whereas in Spain thirteen points is the difference between Barcelona and Real Madrid in 1st and 2nd. Does that mean The Dutch Eredivisie is better as it is providing a more entertaining finale to the season? Now you see my conundrum. Then there is also the individual quality of the players to be taken into account, performance in continental competitions and possibly even the reputation of the league.

To begin with I focused on South American football, widely considered to be the continent closest to Europe in terms of domestic football. Despite the acceptance that South American teams are good, there are still preconceptions about the leagues. For instance it is a widely held opinion that a player cannot be great until he has left South America and plied his trade in Europe. The most topical example of this would be Neymar, despite a return of 131 goals in 214 games for Santos (0.61 goals a game) and already having gained 31 full caps (and scoring 19 goals in doing so), many protest that he cannot be compared to the likes of Messi, Ronaldo or, for that matter, any player in a top European league until he too is playing in Europe. On the other hand Pele is considered to be one of the best, if not the best, player in history. However Pele played 86% of his official games for Santos (91% if you take into account his "unofficial games"), and the only other continent Pele played domestically in was North America. That is, no matter how interesting, another argument for another time. It does, however, lead me onto my first point. It is impossible to say that South America produces worse players than Europe. When looking at the winners of the FIFA world player of the year awards since 1991 a clear trend occurs...

Continent of nation
Nation
Times won
Players

South America

Brazil

8
Ronaldo (3), Ronaldinho (2), Romario, Rivaldo, Kaka
South America
Argentina
4
Messi
Europe
France
3
Zidane
Europe
Italy
2
Baggio, Cannavaro
Europe
Portugal
2
Figo, Ronaldo
Europe
Germany
1
Matthaus
Africa
Liberia
1
Weah
Europe
Netherlands
1
Van Basten

... the award has been won by a South American on twelve occasions, a European ten times and once by an African. This would suggest that, if anything, the South Americans produce players better than Europeans. Another measure of the quality of an individual player may be the market value attached to that player. The ten most valuable players in the world (courtesy of www.transfermarkt.co.uk) are as follows...

Continent of nation
Nation
Player
Value
South America
Argentina
Lionel Messi
£105,000,000
Europe
Portugal
Cristiano Ronaldo
£88,000,000
Europe
Spain
Andres Iniesta
£61,500,000
Europe
England
Wayne Rooney
£57,000,000
South America
Colombia
Falcao
£53,000,000
Europe
Spain
Cesc Fabregas
£48,500,000
South America
Brazil
Neymar
£44,000,000
South America
Brazil
Hulk
£39,500,000
South America
Uruguay
Edinson Cavani
£39,500,000
South America
Argentina
Kun Aguero
£39,500,000

... According to the (absolutely marvellous) transfermarkt six out of the world's most valuable players are South American and only four are European. Between them the two tables make it difficult to argue that the best South American players aren't as good as the best European players, if anything the evidence suggests that it is the South Americans who lead the way when it comes to producing the world's best players, with Europe only just keeping up. So if South American players are better than Europeans, how are their national teams?

Luckily it is easier to compare the ability of national teams than it is players of differing nationalities. Historically some of the greatest international teams ever have come from both continents (Hungary in the early 50s, Holland in the early 70s, Brazil in the early 70s), however there is no use looking too far into the past. The current FIFA world rankings list the top ten international teams as...

Continent of Nation
Nation
Points
Europe
Spain
1538
Europe
Germany
1428
South America
Argentina
1292
Europe
Croatia
1191
Europe
Portugal
1163
South America
Colombia
1154
Europe
England
1135
Europe
Italy
1117
Europe
Netherlands
1093
South America
Ecuador
1056

... Spain sit comfortably atop the world rankings, whilst only three non-European teams are within the top ten. Whilst Brazil are languishing in 19th with 909 points it is worth noting that due to the hosting the 2014 World Cup they do not have to go through qualification, subsequently missing out on many matches and hence opportunities to pick up ranking points. Nevertheless the top ten international teams is not flattering for South America on the whole. Surprise package Ecuador lie 2nd in the CONMEBOL qualifying group aided by the goals of Caicedo, Benitez and Rondon. Even so there are other south American teams that despite not being ranked within the top ten are still considered dangerous teams to play against. Uruguay ranked 17th have performed worse than expected in their World Cup qualifying and are currently 6th of nine, with only Peru, Bolivia and Paraguay below them. Regardless of form a front three of Forlan, Cavani and Suarez is one that no defence would want to face, even that of current number one team and reigning European and world champions Spain. Whilst international football in South America may not currently be at an all time high but it is worth taking into consideration that whatever teams do reach Brazil 2014 it is likely that they perform better than expected, due to factors such as climate and the location being close to their countries and therefore they are sure to have more supporters at their games. When looking at World Cup winners and runners up since Italia 1990 this is how the continents stack up...

Continent of nation
Nation
Times winner
Times runner up
South America
Brazil
2
1
Europe
France
1
1
Europe
Italy
1
1
Europe
(West) Germany
1
1
Europe
Spain
1
0
South America
Argentina
0
1
Europe
Netherlands
0
1

... Only twice has the tournament been won by a South American side in comparison to four victories by European sides. It is exactly the same in terms of runners up too, with two runners up coming from South America and four from Europe. Just once has a South American side partaken in a third place play off, one Asian team and ten European teams. The two tables combine to paint a damning picture of international football in South America, not one in keeping with the quality of player I have previously shown South America to produce. Relatively low success within the international game has few excuses, isolated incidents cannot be blamed as the data I have used takes time into account and hence isolated incidents are bound to balance out. There are three reasons I can think of as to why these teams aren't performing consistently on the international scene, firstly South American footballers are scattered across the globe, many playing in different European leagues and some still playing within South America. Most of the highly performing European nations also have strong domestic leagues, this leads to a higher number of players remaining within that division and encourages familiarity with one another as well as benefits such as a more uniform style. Secondly, South America only has a population of roughly 387,500,000 which is just over half (52%) of the European population of 739,200,000. This may explain why they are able to produce the very best individuals, but not the same quantity of very good players to support the truly world class ones. The third possible reason for a lack of form in the international game could be due to their economic states, many of the South American countries are categorised as newly industrialised countries or less economically developed countries, therefore their governing bodies (rather understandably) focus on things other than sports. Even so South American national teams have plenty of room to improve and may even get more respect than they deserve. For instance, who would you rather your international team played in the final of a competition, Greece or Uruguay? I imagine many would prefer that their team played Greece, however Greece are actually placed four places higher than Uruguay in 13th. It is having reached the conclusion that international football in the CONMEBOL region as not reached the peaks it could have done I move onto looking at domestic football in the region.

As I said in the introduction, football is a form of entertainment and predictability isn't usually entertaining. Whilst no matter what the situation, it is enjoyable watching Barcelona weave their intricate passing plays even if you know it's exactly what will happen, speaking by and large it is an open finish to a competition or a real sense of mystery as to who will win a tournament that gets fans excited. It is for that reason that I will look at the finalists of the European and South American continental club competitions since 1990, the Champions League (European cup prior to 1992, and hereafter just referred to as the Champions League) and the Copa Libertadores, in order to gauge how open these tournaments are and the strength and depth of the leagues which compete in them.

Country of club
Club
Times winner
Times runner up
Italy
AC Milan
4
3
Spain
Barcelona
4
1
Spain
Real Madrid
3
0
England
Manchester United
2
2
Germany
Bayern Munich
1
3
Italy
Juventus
1
3
Netherlands
Ajax
1
1
England
Chelsea
1
1
England
Liverpool
1
1
France
Marseille
1
1
Germany
Borussia Dortmund
1
0
Italy
Inter Milan
1
0
Portugal
Porto
1
0
SFRY/Serbia
Red Star Belgrade
1
0
Spain
Valencia
0
2
England
Arsenal
0
1
France
AS Monaco
0
1
Germany
Bayer Leverkusen
0
1
Portugal
Benfica
0
1
Italy
Sampdoria
0
1

The finals of the Champions League in the period have been made up by 20 teams, 14 teams have won the competition and six have lost in the final without having won the competition. Crucially eight nations have had a team reach the final. Before thorough evaluation I will show you the finalists of the Copa Libertadores in the same time.

Country of club
Club
Times winner
Times runner up
Argentina
Boca Juniors
4
2
Brazil
Sau Paulo
3
2
Paraguay
Olimpia
2
1
Brazil
Internacional
2
0
Brazil
Cruzerio
1
1
Brazil
Gremio
1
1
Brazil
Palmeiras
1
1
Brazil
Santos
1
1
Chile
Colo-Colo
1
0
Brazil
Corinthians
1
0
Argentina
Estudiantes
1
0
Ecuador
LDU Quito
1
0
Colombia
Once Caldas
1
0
Argentina
River Plate
1
0
Brazil
Vasgo da Gama
1
0
Argentina
Vélez Sársfield
1
0
Colombia
Atletico Nacional
0
2
Colombia
América
0
1
Brazil
Atlético Paranaense
0
1
Ecuador
Barcelona
0
1
Mexico
Cruz Azul
0
1
Colombia
Deportivo Cali
0
1
Brazil
Fluminense
0
1
Mexico
Guadalajara
0
1
Argentina
Newell's Old Boys
0
1
Uruguay
Penarol
0
1
Brazil
SĂŁo Caetano
0
1
Peru
Sporting Cristal
0
1
Chile
Universidad CatĂłlica
0
1

Opposed to the 20 finalists of the Champions League 29 teams have reached the final of the Copa Libertadores. 16 teams have won in South America, whereas only 14 have won in Europe. The largest difference is in the number of teams who have made the final without having won the competition, 13 teams have been the bridesmaid and never the bride in the Copa Libertadores, over twice the number of teams in the same position in Europe. This is evidence that the South American leagues have greater depth than the European leagues. The next vital statistic from these Copa Libertadores finalists is the number of countries to have had representatives in the finals, it was eight in the Champions League, as a further indicator of more depth in South America nine nations have had teams reach the final. Cynics may say that it is because of a lower quality of football in South America, something along the lines of "it's easier to be a 6/10 than a 10/10". A sensible person, however, can see beyond those sort of assumptions and understand the argument I am trying to put forward. Another attribute of a great league is a worldwide reputation, whilst reputation is difficult to measure directly the thoroughly researched game Football Manager has a reputation score out of 200 within its database for each competition. The reputations for the top division of all of the nations to have had a team represented in their respective continental club competition as well as the Champions League and Copa Libertadores are as follows...

Continent of competition
Nation
Reputation
Europe
Champions League
200
South America
Copa Libertadores
180
Europe
England
180
Europe
Spain
180
Europe
Germany
175
Europe
Italy
170
Europe
France
155
South America
Brazil
150
Europe
Portugal
145
Europe
Netherlands
134
South America
Argentina
130
South America
Mexico
130
South America
Chile
112
South America
Paraguay
110
South America
Colombia
108
Europe
Serbia
108
South America
Ecuador
105
South America
Uruguay
103
South America
Peru
98

... Initially I was surprised by the reputation of the Copa Libertadores, mainly because it gains little media attention in England, and probably in Europe on the whole. However it is fitting that the two continental competitions have the highest reputation, but beyond that the most highly ranked South American league, the Brazilian league, has only three of the eight European leagues below it. However the Serbian league is a bit of an anomaly, Red Star Belgrade were a Yugoslavian team at the time of winning the European Cup in 1991, however since Yugoslavia has broken up and reformed as many separate countries and Red Star now play in the Serbian league. Most importantly five of the selected European leagues have a reputation larger than that of the largest South American. Also the next two chosen European teams (all of those chosen if you ignore the anomaly of Serbia) lie above the second most reputable South American league, the Argentinean league. The two tables so far give the impression that whilst more open and hotly contested than European football, domestic South American football is less reputable and a possible conclusion of that could be that it is of a lower standard. After them two tables I returned to my first quandary, how do you objectively assess the quality of a football league? The UEFA coefficient does this for all European leagues, sadly that is of no use to me though. One interesting system I did find is one implemented by the International Federation of Football History and Statistics. Whilst an organisation I had never heard of prior to researching this piece (and also one who seem to have received a bit of criticism), they have developed the equation in which the total points (determined by wins, losses and draws) of the top five teams are added together in each league and multiplying them by their FIFA coefficients. The top ten leagues according to the IFFHS are as follows...

Continent of league
League
Points
Europe
Spanish La Liga
1283
South America
Brazilian Serie A
1057
Europe
German Bundesliga
1037
Europe
Italian Serie A
1034
Europe
English Premier League
1007
South America
Argentinean Primera Division
919
Europe
French Ligue 1
880
Europe
Dutch Eredivisie
738
South America
Paraguayan Primera Division
713
South America
Chilean Primera Division
712

... The IFFHS rankings reflect better of the South American divisions than the Football Manager reputations do, although that does not mean that either is wrong. It is possible that the leagues are of the quality indicated by the IFFHS table but are just less well know/advertised/televised than their European equivalents resulting in a smaller reputation. None the less South American teams are not to be ignored or laughed at, the English Premier League, often referred to as the best in the world, is not considered as good as the Brazilian league and is only thought to be narrowly better than the Argentinean league by the boffins at the IFFHS. These tables are not definitive thought, and the only way to really tell which club is best is to look at the head to heads between South American and European club teams. The easiest competition to look at is the FIFA Club World Cup. Having been running in its current format for eight seasons the eight winners are...

Continent of team
Team
Times won
Europe
Barcelona
2
South America
Corinthians
1
South America
Internacional
1
Europe
Inter Milan
1
Europe
Manchester United
1
Europe
AC Milan
1
South America
Sau Paulo
1

... Five wins by European teams to three wins by South American teams. Taking into account all of the factors I have used to assess the strength of domestic leagues and teams I feel that the FIFA World Club Cup is about fair in its representation of the two continents. It seems apparent that South American football is more hotly contested than European, this being evident in the number of teams competing for the Copa Libertadores. Despite the excitement caused by sheer unpredictability the teams are, regardless of the fact I wanted to prove otherwise, one step behind the best Europe has to offer.

I have shown that, on the whole, it is more likely for the absolute pinnacle players in world football to be South American than from any other continent. Despite that the international teams perform with far less consistency than those from Europe for one reason or another, having only three teams within the top ten FIFA world rankings. Finally, the club sides and the leagues they compete in are, whilst not maybe quite up to scratch with the elite European leagues, are certainly not to be considered as "Mickey Mouse leagues". It may not be long until staying within South America is a genuine career option for the best players.

By Alex Pointon

Sources include;
Wikipedia
Transfermarkt.co.uk
Official FIFA website
Football Manager 2013 database
International Federation of Football History and Statistics