Showing posts with label Bayern Munich. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Bayern Munich. Show all posts

Wednesday, 22 May 2013

UCL Final 2013 Preview: Borussia Dortmund vs. Bayern Munich


On Saturday, London will finally be invaded by the Germans.

Borussia Dortmund take on Bayern Munich at Wembley. Both teams have been thoroughly impressive in the Champions League this season and are worthy finalists.

You would have to say that Bayern are favourites for Saturday. They absolutely steamrollered the Bundesliga this season, finishing an incredible 25 points ahead of Saturday’s opponents. This feat is even more impressive considering that only 34 matches are played in a Bundesliga season, compared to 38 games in the Premier League and La Liga. They also managed to score 98 goals, while only conceding 18, giving them a gigantic goal difference of +80.

Astonishing stuff. And with Pep Guardiola and Mario Götze joining the club in the summer, FC Hollywood have a real chance of repeating the glory achieved by the Beckenbauer inspired team that lifted the European Cup in 1974, 1975 and 1976.

But with football, you can never tell what will happen. I falsely predicted that Bayern would comfortably beat Chelsea in last season’s final. Bayern also have a tendency to lose European Cup/Champions League finals; they lost in 1982, 1987, 1999 and 2010. If this list was to grow on Saturday, and with last season’s defeat still fresh in the memory, it would have massive psychological implications. There is a strong possibility of this happening, as Dortmund are an excellent side.

But Mario Götze has a hamstring injury and is ruled out of the final. But I believe that even a fully fit Götze shouldn’t play. In a Champions League final, you need eleven players that are 100% committed. This simply cannot be ensured if Götze plays. He obviously wouldn’t play badly deliberately, but by agreeing to join Bayern, he has made it abundantly clear that he does not want to play for Dortmund. Imagine what would happen if he had to take a penalty in a shootout?

I believe Bayern will win on Saturday. They have a good record over Dortmund this season with two wins and two draws. However, I would like Dortmund to win. The humorous Jürgen Klopp has assembled a young but outstanding team on a small budget and the club, from a neutral point of view at least, seem to be more likeable than their Bavarian rivals. Despite this, I can still see Bayern winning, albeit by a single goal.

By Kelvin Jones

Follow us on Twitter! @ChapsTalkFBall

Friday, 12 April 2013

Who is going to win the Champions League?


So today, the draw for the UEFA Champions League Semi-Finals were made. The games to be played are Barcelona vs Bayern Munich and Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund. With only these 4 teams, two from Spain and two from Germany, remaining, now would seem the ideal time to make an educated decision on who is actually going to win the tournament. To do this, I have compiled a table to compare the teams’ performances and squads.


Borussia Dortmund
Bayern Munich
Real Madrid
Barcelona
League Position
2nd with 55 points
1st with 75 points
2nd with 65 points
1st with 78 points
Total Market Value
£225 million
£380 million
£525 million
£530 million
Most Valuable Player
Mario Gotze
£37 million
Franck Ribery
£37 million
Cristiano Ronaldo
£88 million
Lionel Messi
£105 million
Form in last 10 games (all competitions)
DLWWLWWDWW
WWWWLWWWWW
WWWWWWDWWL
WLLWWWDDWD
Goals Scored in UCL this season
19
22
23
18
WDL record in UCL this season
6-4-0
7-1-2
5-3-2
5-3-2
Discipline in UCL this season (Y/R)
9/0
24/1
18/2
19/1
European Pedigree (Includes European Cup Wins as UCL)
UCL Winners: 1997
UEFA Cup Runners Up:
1993, 2001
UCL Winners:
1974, 1975, 1976, 2001
UEFA Cup Winners:
1996
UCL Winners:
1956, 1957, 1958, 1959, 1960, 1966, 1998, 2000, 2002
UCL Runners Up:
1962, 1964, 1981
UEFA Cup Winners:
1985, 1986
UCL Winners:
1992, 2006, 2009, 2011
UCL Runners Up:
1961, 1986, 1994


Clearly, the remaining four teams are fairly evenly matched, with each team having its own strong point. Munich are in the best run of form, having lost only once in their last ten games, the defeat coming against Arsenal in the Champion’s League last 16. Dortmund, however, have the best record in this year’s competition, being the only team in the last four yet to have lost a game. Real Madrid obviously have the European pedigree, having won the tournament more times than any other team. Barcelona’s advantage, for me, lies with Messi. He is capable of winning the tournament single-handedly, as demonstrated by his game changing substitute appearance against PSG in the quarter-finals.

However, to consider who is best placed to win the competition, we must also examine who is playing who. Barcelona vs Bayern Munich would seem to be the tougher of the two games, with these being many people’s pre-tournament favourites. I’m sure it will be a tense game over the two legs, but I personally feel that Barcelona will be able to edge out Munich in their home tie at the Camp Nou. Having seen Barcelona wipe AC Milan out 4-0 at home, I see no reason why a similarly impressive Barcelona display could not happen against Munich. However, I would imagine Munich would win their home tie, but I still see Barcelona winning out over both legs.

The second semi-final would seem far more easily settled. Madrid are the clear favourites to win over both legs, with Dortmund having been considered as outsiders to get this far in the tournament, at the cost of sides with perhaps greater pedigree such as many of the English or Italian sides. That said, Dortmund have shown great resilience so far in the competition, they came from behind against Malaga in the quarter-finals to win in injury time, and it is no mean feat to play 10 UCL games and not lose a single match. Madrid, do overall have a deeper squad, with a larger range of talent and Ronaldo. He is not a player to be ignored, and like Messi, can single-handedly win games.

This brings us to a final that I predict will be Barcelona vs Real Madrid, to be hosted at Wembley. I think that this final encounter will be won by Madrid. In the last 10 iterations of El Clasico, Real Madrid have won 4, Barcelona have won 3 and 3 have ended in stalemate. However, of the last 5, 3 have been Madrid wins, and the other two were drawn. This shows that Madrid may have the edge in what is perhaps one of the most hotly contested rivalries in European Football, and this is the reason why Real Madrid are going to win the 2013 UEFA Champions League (in my opinion, I can’t say what the other chaps think).

By Paddy Milnes

Follows us on Twitter: @chapstalkfootball @thepaddy

Statistics from:
Transfermarkt.com
Uefa.com
Bvb.de
Fcbayern.telekom.de
Realmadrid.com
Fcbarcelona.com

Sunday, 20 May 2012

Champions League Final 11/12 Summary


After a remarkable night of football seen by millions across the world many Chelsea fans will inevitably be waking up with very sore heads. The Champions League final didn't, for the majority of regulation time anyway, provide much of a spectacle. What happened after the 80th minute however  was football at its most delightful.

Bayern managed 43 shots across the course of the evening, by even their standards 43 is a ludicrous amount. Bayern averaged 15.7 shots per match in the 11/12 domestic season so they were gifted over 2.5 times more chances than normal. Frank Lampard was the Chelsea player who had the most touches of the ball with 97, which was bettered by 4 Bayern Munich players. With 56% of ball possession (with 44% of the games total play occurring within the Chelsea half) and a pass accuracy of 87% (only Barcelona averaged higher than this in all of Europe's top 5 leagues last season), Bayern were certainly on top. But if you watched the game you don't need the statistics to tell you that Chelsea were on the back foot. It was, defensively anyway, a glorious performance from Chelsea. Their shape, as shown by their average positions across the night below, was nigh on flawless.



On only one occasion can I recall Chelsea being caught out seriously due to poor positioning, and that was a defensive lapse by Ashley Cole (and possibly Malouda) to allow Mueller a free header at the back post to score Bayern's goal. Of the 43 attempts on goal by the Munich team 22 were blocked by Chelsea players. 14 of the 22 blocks were by either Bosingwa, Cahill, Luiz or Cole, who performed impressively whilst having to remain disciplined all night.

Chelsea were aided by poor finishing from the "home" side though. Of the 21 shots which managed to make it past a Chelsea player only 7 were on target. The shooting of Arjen Robben was particularly poor, with only 5 of his attempted 15 shots testing the glorious Petr Cech. Mario Gomes had an equally as poor night, penned by many as the man who would win the final for Bayern, he was unable to test Cech all night. In total Gomez managed 5 shots all night and none on target, a far cry from the form she showed in the rest of the Champions League this season. Were Bayern Munich to have finished as they normally would have then it goes without saying that a different name would be on the trophy.

In the 53rd minute Bayern did have the ball in the back of the Chelsea net, but Franck Ribery adjudged to have been offside, a decision which replays suggested was correct, but tight none the less. Were the goal to have stood Chelsea would have been aggrieved, but worse decisions have been made in big games this season (Juan Mata'a ghost goal in the FA cup semi-final against Spurs a brilliant example).

In the 83rd minute Thomas Mueller broke the deadlock when he was afforded a free header at Chelsea's back post. Similarly to how Jamie Mackie scored against City in the boring Premier League final day Mueller headed the ball into the ground and it looped over Petr Cech and into the net. The joy in Mueller's celebration was obvious to see, he thought that he had just won the Champions League final for his team.

When Didier Drogba headed in the equaliser in the 88th minute it appeared, as Gary Neville said, "written in the stars". After the goal Munich did seem flustered for the rest of the first 90 minutes plus injury time. They had already sent on the man mountain Van Buyten to assist them in seeing out the game, showing that they didn't expect Chelsea to sucker punch them.

Going into extra time it still seemed that if the game were to be settled from open play it would be Bayern Munich lifting the trophy. It was simply a case of could Chelsea hold on? And Drogba seemed to answer that question for us after 5 minutes. Having given away a penalty in their semi-final second leg Drogba once again felled an opposition attacker. It seemed certain that a player of Arjen Robben's technique and quality would manage to do what Messi had failed in the semi and score the penalty. But a combination of a poor hit by Robben and a correct guess by Cech kept the score level. At this point I was thinking "if there is a god, he is a Chelsea fan". The rest of extra time passed without incident, meaning Chelsea had to better their performance in the 2008 Moscow final penalty shoot out and they would become the 5th English team to lift the EC/CL trophy.

Just as they had in the match Chelsea went the hard route through the penalty shoot out. After Mata's missed penalty it seemed once again inevitable that Bayern Munich would win the trophy. Alas fantastic penalties by Luiz, Lampard and Cole meant that the miss by Olic put the two teams level with one spot kick left each. One peculiar moment during the penalty shoot out was Manuel Neur stepping up to take a penalty. Whilst Bayern's reserve keeper Butt is renown as a penalty taking goal keeper Neur has no such reputation, none the less he held his nerve and despatched the penalty expertly. Then a rare penalty miss from 27 year old Schweinsteiger, who has been at Bayern Munich since 1998, allowed Drogba to score the final penalty for Chelsea and seal the win for the first ever Champions League winning team from London.

It was a night which defied all logic. Every statistic suggests that Chelsea should have lost by a cricket score, but on the night the stars aligned in such a way that allowed the underdogs (written off by Kelvin pre-match) to lift the trophy. That raises the question, if the 6th best team from England are the best team in Europe and the top two English teams aren't even able to progress to the business end of the Europa League, what on earth will happen next year? But for now it is time to catch my breath after a truly incredible end to the season in preparation for Euro 2012.

By Alex Pointon
Follow me on twitter - @Jewfrochamp

All statistics and the fantastic graphic are from whoscored.com

Friday, 18 May 2012

UEFA Champions League Final: Bayern Munich vs Chelsea


According to the Euro Club Index, only one place separates Bayern Munich and Chelsea; they are placed fifth and sixth respectively. However, after their battle on the Allianz Arena turf tomorrow, I can only see Bayern Munich extending this lead.

Firstly, Bayern Munich have won all seven of their UEFA Champions League games at the Allianz Arena this season. They recorded impressive victories against Manchester City and Real Madrid, and they also destroyed FC Basel 7-0.

But, home advantage may be less effective than predicted. UEFA Champions League finals, in recent years at least, have had an atmosphere dominated by corporatism. Bayern fans will take up 17,500 seats on Saturday evening. On a normal match-day, over 60,000 Bayern fans are present. This may have a psychological effect on the players, as they are not used to this. Psychological factors play a huge part in football, and their effects are often overlooked. Chelsea may be able to exploit this.

Chelsea also have many key personnel ineligible; John Terry, Branislav Ivanovic, Raul Meireles and Ramires are all suspended. All four players scored en route to the final, and they will be significantly weakened by this. Chelsea will especially miss the leadership qualities of their controversial captain.

With Chelsea’s weakened back line, and Bayern’s formidable strike force of Mario Gomez, Arjen Robben and Franck Ribéry, the Germans are likely to claim their fifth UEFA Champions League title. Although Chelsea memorably defeated FC Barcelona in their semi-final clash, I do not believe that Chelsea can repeat a performance of this magnitude.

By Kelvin Jones
@Kelvin_Jones

Statistics courtesy of euroclubindex.com and whoscored.com