Tuesday, 14 May 2013

The Wayne Rooney Problem


Wayne Rooney has recently placed a second transfer request at Manchester United. He has also, reportedly anyway, said that he is prepared to perform a U-turn on this decision and stay at Manchester United. Regardless of how Moyes decides to react to this it is evident that Rooney is a volatile character who requires specific man management.

Rooney's second transfer request was placed after he fell out Ferguson's favour. Rooney has been playing second fiddle to Robin Van Persie, exactly the type of player Rooney believed Manchester United were not willing to sign when placing his first transfer request. Subsequently Rooney has found himself playing further back, sometimes as a centre forward and other times as far back as central/holding midfielder. Rooney has a game suited to these roles, partially down to Rooney's physical attributes. That will, however, be discussed later. It took an excellently executed press conference by the outgoing Sir Alex Ferguson to convince Rooney to stay at Manchester United in the wake of the first transfer request, is Moyes capable of talking Rooney into changing his mind a second time?

Moyes, as everyone knows, managed Wayne Rooney as a youngster at Everton. Their relationship was far from the best, with Moyes suing Rooney for libel in 2008, following accusations in the players autobiography that David Moyes leaked details of a private conversation to the Liverpool Echo. Moyes won between £50,000 and £150,000 and a "sincere apology" from Wayne Rooney. Since the legal agreement was reached the pair are said to be on amicable terms, however this may be put under significant stress as they enter into a working relationship. Although that is dependent on Moyes wanting to keep Rooney. Ferguson famously let a player go if he considered himself larger than the club, with Moyes chosen due to similar values as Ferguson then there is more than a chance that Moyes will also sell players he believes have such an attitude. There are certainly clubs willing to buy Rooney too, with PSG, Bayern Munich, Chelsea and Monaco all rumoured suitors. The final factor likely to force Rooney out of the door is the fans. Rooney was booed by fans during the open bus parade celebration, and the talk of Falcao, Lewandowski or Fabregas as a replacement may cause excitement amongst the fans.

If the supposed U-turn is true and Rooney decides to stay with the newly crowned champions then he may have to cope with playing deeper. Many claim that Rooney is coming to the end of one of his worst seasons playing for Manchester United. He has, however, registered ten league assists, the joint fourth most in the league (and only just overtaken by Cazorla's four assists against now relegated Wigan) and only two fewer than PFA player of the year nominated and the league's top creator, Juan Mata. Rooney has also scored twelve goals, whilst only placing with joint 14th on the scoring table it does put his combined goals and assists in the top eight across the whole league. His slump may not be reflected in the numbers as strongly as some may suggest. Rooney also showed a capability of playing elsewhere on the pitch, a convincing performance against Stoke in mid April suggesting he could partner Carrick in midfield. This potential positional shift could add both playing time to Rooney's future seasons and add to Rooney's worth to Manchester United.

Whether Rooney stays at Manchester United or not depends very much on what happens behind closed doors between Rooney and Moyes. If Rooney commits his future 100% to Manchester United and is willing to succumb completely to Moyes' future plans. The statistics show that Rooney is of use to the team. However if Rooney is not able the commit wholeheartedly to playing a large part of Moyes' first few years as Manchester United manager then he should be sold to the highest bidder outside of England.

By Alex Pointon

Sources:

Friday, 10 May 2013

Life After Ferguson: the Moyes Appointment


 It has now sunk in, Sir Alex Ferguson is to end his time as Manchester United manager. In his 26 and a half years at Manchester United much has changed, for one I have been born and grown into a young adult. It is his longevity, ridiculous trophy haul, constant reinvention and never ending passion for the game that make him a one off. Sir Alex once said "there are too many examples of people who retire and are in their box soon after. You're taking away the very thing that makes you alive, that keeps you alive." It very much seemed that way with Sir Alex Ferguson, that football, that being the Manchester United manager, was what kept him alive. Waking up early and dealing with mounds of paper work before training seemed to pleasure him. To turn Ferguson's own phrase onto him, he is a "unique freak". However this piece is not an ode to Ferguson, it is about his successor. David Moyes is the man set to come in and replace the irreplaceable.

Many have said that Moyes is not the right appointment, that he lacks European experience or that his record against the traditional big four is poor. Despite Moyes' only real European experience being guiding Everton to the UEFA cup round of 16 in 2008 and the 3rd qualifying round of the Champions League in 2005 the obvious question is, how do you gain the experience if you aren't qualified to compete in the competition? As for a poor record against the big four, that is neither here nor there. Never before has Moyes had a squad of Manchester United's quality at his disposal. Realistically it was not the points picked up against the very biggest teams that defined Eveton's seasons, it was consistently picking points up against those teams around and below them. That is not the case at Manchester United, the games against Arsenal, Chelsea, Manchester City and even Liverpool and Tottenham can be the difference between a historic season and a forgettable one. It will be in his first year or two as Manchester United manager that he can define his ability to outwit the top managers in the country.

There are other positives too, Moyes is 50 years old. Neither old nor young for a Premier League manager. He has had time to gain the necessary experience and now is at a good age to settle down. Prior to Ferguson stepping down Moyes was the third longest reigning manager in the Football League. In his eleven year tenure at the helm of Everton he has had to build teams, a much praised characteristic of Ferguson. This will stand him in good stead as Manchester United manager as he will, presumably, stay long enough to have to build upon and develop the league winning team Ferguson has left him. Jose Mourinho's longest spell managing one club is 3 years, meaning he has never had to have a truly long term vision in regards to squad building. Another advantage of bringing in Moyes (that may well apply to bringing in any manager) is that because the team is not "his" it is easier to identify weaknesses and ruthlessly act upon them. It is a wide held view that a central midfielder is required at Manchester United with Fletcher, Scholes and Anderson all going (or deserving to go, Ando), however Ferguson hasn't bought a defensive minded central midfielder. Carrick enjoyed his best season in a Manchester United shirt and this may have slightly masked the problem, none the less a new manager will be able to objectively assess the strengths and weaknesses of the squad.

Recently Everton have been playing better football than many give them credit for. Regardless of their reliance on physical strikers (Anichebe, Jelavic, Fellaini. Historically, Yakubu, Cahill) he often employs a system with focus on wide areas. Pienaar and Baines have developed one of the most effective and consistent midfielder - full back partnerships in the league. Proof of this is that 43% of Everton's play is in the left third of the pitch. 31% of Everton's play is on the right, leaving 26% through the middle third. In comparison to Manchester United, a team who historically attack in wide areas, Everton actually play more down the wings. Manchester United play 32% down the left side, 40% down the right side and therefore 28% through the middle. This indicates that Moyes is unlikely to change the style of play associated with Manchester United. Another point worth noting is Moyes' effective use of a clever playmaker, Leon Osman. Shinji Kagawa has been used poorly for his first season in English football and it is possible that Moyes will be able to utilise him more efficiently than Ferguson has, especially with rumours suggesting that Wayne Rooney has handed in a second transfer request at Manchester United.

Moyes is also accomplished in the transfer market. Rarely does he make a big signing that doesn't work well, and even so, with the budget constraints at Everton a big signing for them may not be considered so at United. For example Kevin Mirallas for £6.7m has been one of Everton's top performing players this season, for comparison purposes that is roughly £1m less than Bebe cost Manchester United in 2010. Another shining example is Marouane Fellaini, the powerful midfielder cost Everton £19.1m in 2008 and has gone on to prove his worth and his sought after by many of the top clubs in Europe. With Ferguson staying at Manchester United in a directorial capacity Moyes will always be able to ask for advice or guidance. This bodes for success in the transfer market.

All things considered Moyes is a smart choice as Sir Alex Ferguson's successor. Whilst Mourinho may have provided the club with a sense of glamour, it is stability that is most desired. Sir Alex Ferguson has delivered success almost every year for his entire stay at Manchester United, undoubtedly a tough act to follow. Mourinho may have offered an attractive quick fling, however Moyes offers the dependability of a life partner. Which is what is required at Manchester United in the wake of Ferguson's retirement.

By Alex Pointon

Statistics from

Sunday, 28 April 2013

Ever Present Players

I have always been interested by the phenomenon that is a player who can go a whole season without missing a minute of football. Obviously injury, rotation and form or the presence of a decent replacement are all reasons for a player to miss minutes. How many players have done this in Premier League seasons of the past? The 95-96 season was the first to be reduced to 38 games a season (previously 42). Surely fewer fixtures would make it easier to not miss a minute? Also, does the increasing physicality of the league make it harder to go all season without missing a minute?



As you can see the trend goes very much up and down, however were you to add a trend line (and I did) the gradient is -0.0312, to the non-mathematically inclined that means that that there is, on average, a very very slight decline in the frequency with which a player achieves this feat. If this season 7 players had not missed a minute (which has been equalled or bettered 10 times) then the gradient of the trend line would be 0.0078. Basically, the number of occasions that a player has gone all season and played every minute is neither really more or less frequent than it was at the beginning of the Premier League era.

Most frequent not missing a minute-ers

Name
PL seasons without missing a minute
David James
8
Brad Friedel
5
Jussi Jaaskelainen
5
Shay Given
4
Tim Howard
4
Pepe Reina
4
Nigel Martyn
3
Paul Robinson
3

That list is exclusively populated by goalkeepers, with David James well ahead of Friedel and Jaaskelainen. The most seasons managed by an outfield player is 2, achieved by just 4 players (Gareth Southgate, Alan Wright, Wayne Bridge and Sylvain Distin). All of the outfield players to have achieved this are defenders. Alan Wright is the shortest player in Premier League history and once strained his knee reaching for the accelerator in his new Ferrari.

By Alex Pointon

Follow us on twitter @ChapsTalkFBall

Statistics from www.transfermarkt.co.uk

Monday, 22 April 2013

Luis Suarez: The most controversial footballer ever?

I’m sure you are all aware by now that in yesterday afternoon’s clash between Chelsea and Liverpool there was a rather crazy incident involving Liverpool striker Luis Suarez and Chelsea’s centreback Branislav Ivanovic. For those of you who remain unaware, this is the incident of which I refer to:

What happened there is that Suarez, seemingly frustrated at Ivanovic’s challenge on him has proceeded to bite the defender just below the shoulder. Now I am of the opinion that no matter what the scenario, there is no need to be biting other people, let alone during a competitive and physical environment such as a football game in which tempers are liable to flair. It would also be easy to now forgive Suarez for what seems to be a momentary lapse in self-control, if it were not for the fact the Uruguayan has a history of highly controversial moments on the football pitch, a history that I will now elaborate on.
First of all, there is this incident, which occurred in 2010 whilst Suarez was still playing for Ajax in Holland:

That’s right, Suarez has not once, but twice bitten an opposing player during a game of football. On this occasion it was PSV’s Otman Bikkal, and Suarez actually managed to draw blood with his bite to the collar of Bikkal. He was later banned for 7 games because of the incident.

However, Suarez’ controversies are not limited solely to the mastication of his fellow players. He was sent off in the 2010 World Cup Quarter Final against Ghana whilst representing Uruguay for deliberately preventing a goal with his hands. A goal that, had it gone in, would have won Ghana the game and sent them in to the Semi-Final. But the goal didn’t go in having been denied by Suarez in a way that any goalkeeper would have been proud of, and Uruguay went on to win the game on a penalty shootout.

Suarez then transferred to Liverpool in January 2011, and controversy followed him to the Premier league. He was banned for 8 games in December 2011 for racially abusing Manchester United’s French left back Patrice Evra. Suarez then refused to shake Evra’s hand before a game between the two sides in March 2012 because of this.

 As recently as the first half of this season, Suarez’s desire to win at all costs has led to even more controversial moments in his career. In October 2012 Suarez was accused of diving in a game against Stoke by Stoke’s manager Tony Pulis. Suarez later admitted on Argentinian TV that he had “fallen” intentionally in order to attempt to win a penalty. Suarez had also been accused of diving against Everton the previous season, in order to get an Everton player sent off, and later celebrated a goal against Everton in a different match by performing a swallow dive in front of the Everton dugout.
As well as these major events, Suarez has also been involved in a variety of smaller events including alledged stamps, kicks, dodgy challenges and other altercations with a host of other plays, notably with Dave Jones of Wigan, Scott Parker and Sylvain Distin.

Fortunately for Suarez, he is a player of undeniable talent, as demonstrated by the fact he is currently the Premier League’s leading goal scorer and his recent nomination for PFA Player of the Year, and this talent may be seen as a way of excusing some of his actions. As author Terry Pratchett suggested in his novel Thief of Time, “Genius is always allowed some leeway, once the hammer has been pried from its hands and the blood has been cleaned up” and this logic can, and perhaps will, be applied to Luis Suarez’s flashes of genius on the football pitch. However, for me Luis Suarez’s footballing ability will always be overshadowed by his willingness to cheat for his own gain, and I think that a player of lesser quality may not have been given so many chances to apologise for his actions, and a may have even been forced from the game.

Suarez is not the only player to have featured in such controversial events in a football ground, and for a comparison, I direct you towards the two following clips:

The first clip there is of Manchester United's charismatic French Striker Eric Cantona performing his now infamous kung fu lunge on a Crystal Palace fan after he had received a red card. The second clip is from the 2006 World Cup Final and is, of course, of Zinedine Zidane's headbutt on Marco Materazzi. Both of these incidents involved stars of the world game, players of a standard that Suarez is yet to even reach' but in each of these cases this incident is often the first thing that springs to a person's mind when the player's name is mentioned. This shows just how drastically a career can be overshadowed by one moment of high profile madness, and in Suarez's case it is not even a single moment. At the time Cantona managed to recover from the incident and proceeded to have a fruitful career, but Zidane's action was his last of a long and prosperous career, having announced that that game would be his last. This just shows that it is unlikely that Suarez will ever be able to shed his mantle as a cheater and a controversial figure, no matter how much he can and may in future achieve.

Written by Paddy Milnes
Follow us on twitter: @ChapsTalkFball @thepaddy

The information in this post is from BBC Sport

Saturday, 20 April 2013

Team of 11 Leagues


I’ve been recently set the challenge of selecting a team with each player coming from a different league. It sounds easy on paper, but it’s rather challenging! Here is my team:

4-3-3

GK -  Igor Akinfeev (CSKA Moscow)
Akinfeev is an outstanding shot stopper who has 18 clean sheets this season for Russia and CSKA Moscow. Still only 27, he is certainly capable of replacing Victor Valdes at Barcelona next year.

LB - Philipp Lahm  (Bayern Munich)
Lahm can play both right-back and left-back, which is a rarity in today’s game. He captains both Germany and Bayern Munich and has 14 assists in all competitions this season; astonishing for a full-back.

CB - Vincent Kompany (Manchester City)
Kompany missed a lot of games through injuries this season and it’s no coincidence that City are so far behind United in the Premier League. Kompany was included in the PFA Team of the Year in both 2011 and 2012. He would have made the team this year too.

CB - Giorgio Chiellini (Juventus)
Chiellini was a key part of the water-tight Juventus defence that did not lose a single Serie A game last season. An incredible achievement that was sadly largely overlooked by the British media.

RB - Darijo Srna (Shakhtar Donetsk)
Croatia’s captain and most capped player with 102 caps. Definitely underrated, Srna should be playing in the Premier League.

DM - Victor Wanyama (Celtic)
Extremely powerful and can, at times, dominate the midfield. Definitely one to watch, and at only 21, Wanyama has the potential to be world class. Neil Lennon shares this view; he believes Wanyama is worth £25 million.

CM - Wesley Sneijder (Galatasaray)
Quick and technically gifted, Sneijder remains a world-class player despite his contract dispute with Inter Milan. Sneijder has settled in well at Galatasaray, but I believe a man of his talent should be playing for a better team.

CM - Nicolas Gaitan (Benfica)
Another playmaker, Gaitan continues to turn heads in the Primeira Liga. An excellent passer, Manchester United were rumoured to be interested in the Argentine last summer.

LW - Lionel Messi (FC Barcelona)
Doesn’t need an explanation really…

ST - Zlatan Ibrahimovic (Paris Saint-Germain)
Despite not doing auditions, Ibrahimovic is one of the world’s best strikers. The power that his shots can generate is astonishing. He currently has 33 goals in 40 games in all competitions for PSG this season.

RW - Neymar (Santos)
The greatest Brazilian talent since Ronaldo. Neymar has 54 goals in 102 games for Santos and 19 goals in 31 games for Brazil. Comparisons to PelĂ© are premature, but at just 21, time is on Neymar’s side.

What do you think? What would your team be? Tweet us! @ChapsTalkFBall

By Kelvin Jones @KelvinJonesCBE

Statistics from whoscored.com

Monday, 15 April 2013

Breaching Barca


3 years ago Barcelona were without a doubt the best team on the planet both defensively and offensively, however, especially since the departure of Guardiola, opposition teams seem more able to compete with them.

The 2010/11 season was arguably one of the most successful seasons, winning everything available to them with the exception of the Copa Del Ray which was lost in a 1-0 clash with rivals Real Madrid. Barca won the La Liga title for the third consecutive season with a mighty 96 points and claimed their fourth European cup with a 3-1 win over Manchester United at Wembley in the Champions League final. In this season only 2 of their 38 games resulted in defeat and conceding only 21 goals throughout the entire season.

The 2011/12 season was Guardiola’s final season at the club and was one that resulted in no trophies being added to the Barcelona trophy cabinet. The main reason I believe this to be is that their water tight defence had seemed to have sprung a leak, all be it not a very big one though it was enough to surrender the title to Real Madrid that season. Barca won 28 out of their 38 games, and being held to high 7 draws, and 29 goals, 8 higher than the previous season. In 2012 captain Carles Puyol was hit with a recurring knee injury which saw him miss a huge proportion of Barca’s league and European campaign which Barca were unsuccessful in both. With no real centre back cover available midfielder’s Busquets and Mascherano were given the responsibility to fill in after which Barca became even more vulnerable which shows when teams were able to muster an average of 7.2 shots per game against them, compared to just the 7 the season before.

This figure continued to rise, with so far this season oppositions averaging 8.8 shots per game against them. Though it may seem Barca have the league comfortably in their grasp it appears to be through lack of serious competition rather than solid performances across the pitch. So far this season Barca have conceded 33 goals, 4 more than last season with 7 games still to go including Bayern Munich (2 legs), Bilbao, Athletico Madrid and Malaga who are all capable of taking advantage of any defensive weaknesses.

This is a dangerous period for Barca with their continuing dip in form coming ahead of their most important games, and bigger teams showing that positive results can be achieved against the Spanish giants. Over the last 20 games Barca have won 10, were held in 6 and defeated in 4. Real Madrid (twice), AC Milan and Real Sociedad all claimed victories, whilst PSG run them close in the Champions League quarter final and probably deserved to go through and as a result I wouldn’t put any money on Barca claiming their fifth European cup this season.

By Ryan Pantrey

Sources:

@BarcaStat, Wikipedia and whoscored.com.

Friday, 12 April 2013

Who is going to win the Champions League?


So today, the draw for the UEFA Champions League Semi-Finals were made. The games to be played are Barcelona vs Bayern Munich and Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund. With only these 4 teams, two from Spain and two from Germany, remaining, now would seem the ideal time to make an educated decision on who is actually going to win the tournament. To do this, I have compiled a table to compare the teams’ performances and squads.


Borussia Dortmund
Bayern Munich
Real Madrid
Barcelona
League Position
2nd with 55 points
1st with 75 points
2nd with 65 points
1st with 78 points
Total Market Value
£225 million
£380 million
£525 million
£530 million
Most Valuable Player
Mario Gotze
£37 million
Franck Ribery
£37 million
Cristiano Ronaldo
£88 million
Lionel Messi
£105 million
Form in last 10 games (all competitions)
DLWWLWWDWW
WWWWLWWWWW
WWWWWWDWWL
WLLWWWDDWD
Goals Scored in UCL this season
19
22
23
18
WDL record in UCL this season
6-4-0
7-1-2
5-3-2
5-3-2
Discipline in UCL this season (Y/R)
9/0
24/1
18/2
19/1
European Pedigree (Includes European Cup Wins as UCL)
UCL Winners: 1997
UEFA Cup Runners Up:
1993, 2001
UCL Winners:
1974, 1975, 1976, 2001
UEFA Cup Winners:
1996
UCL Winners:
1956, 1957, 1958, 1959, 1960, 1966, 1998, 2000, 2002
UCL Runners Up:
1962, 1964, 1981
UEFA Cup Winners:
1985, 1986
UCL Winners:
1992, 2006, 2009, 2011
UCL Runners Up:
1961, 1986, 1994


Clearly, the remaining four teams are fairly evenly matched, with each team having its own strong point. Munich are in the best run of form, having lost only once in their last ten games, the defeat coming against Arsenal in the Champion’s League last 16. Dortmund, however, have the best record in this year’s competition, being the only team in the last four yet to have lost a game. Real Madrid obviously have the European pedigree, having won the tournament more times than any other team. Barcelona’s advantage, for me, lies with Messi. He is capable of winning the tournament single-handedly, as demonstrated by his game changing substitute appearance against PSG in the quarter-finals.

However, to consider who is best placed to win the competition, we must also examine who is playing who. Barcelona vs Bayern Munich would seem to be the tougher of the two games, with these being many people’s pre-tournament favourites. I’m sure it will be a tense game over the two legs, but I personally feel that Barcelona will be able to edge out Munich in their home tie at the Camp Nou. Having seen Barcelona wipe AC Milan out 4-0 at home, I see no reason why a similarly impressive Barcelona display could not happen against Munich. However, I would imagine Munich would win their home tie, but I still see Barcelona winning out over both legs.

The second semi-final would seem far more easily settled. Madrid are the clear favourites to win over both legs, with Dortmund having been considered as outsiders to get this far in the tournament, at the cost of sides with perhaps greater pedigree such as many of the English or Italian sides. That said, Dortmund have shown great resilience so far in the competition, they came from behind against Malaga in the quarter-finals to win in injury time, and it is no mean feat to play 10 UCL games and not lose a single match. Madrid, do overall have a deeper squad, with a larger range of talent and Ronaldo. He is not a player to be ignored, and like Messi, can single-handedly win games.

This brings us to a final that I predict will be Barcelona vs Real Madrid, to be hosted at Wembley. I think that this final encounter will be won by Madrid. In the last 10 iterations of El Clasico, Real Madrid have won 4, Barcelona have won 3 and 3 have ended in stalemate. However, of the last 5, 3 have been Madrid wins, and the other two were drawn. This shows that Madrid may have the edge in what is perhaps one of the most hotly contested rivalries in European Football, and this is the reason why Real Madrid are going to win the 2013 UEFA Champions League (in my opinion, I can’t say what the other chaps think).

By Paddy Milnes

Follows us on Twitter: @chapstalkfootball @thepaddy

Statistics from:
Transfermarkt.com
Uefa.com
Bvb.de
Fcbayern.telekom.de
Realmadrid.com
Fcbarcelona.com