Saturday 2 March 2013

Tottenham Hotspur vs. Arsenal: Preview

The North London derby is always a must watch game. Tomorrow’s game is no exception, as the race for the Champions League places is tight.

Pos
Team
Played
Wins
Draws
Losses
GD
Points
3rd
Chelsea
28
15
7
6
+26
52
4th
Tottenham
27
15
6
6
+15
51
5th
Arsenal
27
13
8
6
+22
47
6th
Everton
28
11
12
5
+9
45

Arsenal cannot afford to lose tomorrow. A defeat will leave them seven points behind Tottenham and five points behind Chelsea. With ten games remaining, it would be a considerable lead.

The North London derby is the highest scoring fixture in Premier League history; 121 goals have been scored. The table below shows the results since 2008.

North London derbies since 2008

2012/2013
Arsenal
5
2
Tottenham
2011/2012
Arsenal
5
2
Tottenham
2011/2012
Tottenham
2
1
Arsenal
2010/2011
Tottenham
3
3
Arsenal
2010/2011
Arsenal
2
3
Tottenham
2009/2010
Tottenham
2
1
Arsenal
2009/2010
Arsenal
3
0
Tottenham
2008/2009
Tottenham
0
0
Arsenal
2008/2009
Arsenal
4
4
Tottenham

Goals per game since 2008
4.67
Arsenal goals per game since 2008
2.67
Tottenham goals per game since 2008
2.00

Gareth Bale has recently been compared to Lionel Messi and Cristiano Ronaldo in the media, but I believe that to be a massive exaggeration. While nine goals in seven games is impressive, Messi and Ronaldo are able to reproduce this form consistently. Arsene Wenger believes that Bale would find it “very, very difficult” to continue the form he is currently in.

Having said that, if the in-form Bale turns up tomorrow, Arsenal will be in for a tough afternoon. Bacary Sagna has been ruled out with a knee injury, leaving Carl Jenkinson to deputise. Despite being much less experienced than the Frenchman, Jenkinson is a good player and he is capable of nullifying the threat posed by Bale.

Personally, I think the game will end up as a 2-2 draw. Both teams are very evenly matched. The form table can barely separate them, with Arsenal ranked second and Tottenham ranked third.

By Kelvin Jones

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